Brady's Weather Blog

  BRADY'S WEATHER PAGE  DECEMBER 8, 2023 @ 9:05 PM CST …UPDATED DISCUSSION... An updated discussion regarding tomorrow's severe threat... Latest short range guidance has increased Instability across the entire Mid South, with most short term models showing 1000 j/kg+ of surface based CAPE. This translates to low to mid 60 dewpoints, and would be happening in conjunction with 45-65 knots of bulk shear. This increase in Instability raises confidence in severe weather occurring, but also increases the tornado threat. Have increased the tornado threat to correspond with the recent model guidance. Everything else remains on track, and no further changes were warranted with this update. 

 BRADY'S WEATHER PAGE  DECEMBER 8, 2023 @ 2:20 PM CST KEY MESSAGES :  1.) Severe Thunderstorms are likely on Saturday with damaging winds, hail, and a few tornadoes.  2.) Drier conditions expected for Sunday.  3.) Expect near normal temperatures for much of the forecast period.  SHORT TERM :  The main topic of discussion in today's forecast issuance will be the severe potential for tomorrow.  However, we will get into that in a moment. Currently, temperatures are quite nice outside. Temperatures area wide are in the 60s for most places, but a mix of sun and clouds. Winds will begin to pickup later today and tonight as a strong southerly begins to set in. This southerly flow is what will drive tomorrow's severe weather threat. No severe weather problems are expected tonight.  Regarding tomorrow's severe weather potential, the bottom line up front is that everyone should have more than 1 way of receiving warnings tomorrow and that you should ha...

 BRADY'S WEATHER PAGE DECEMBER 6, 2023 @ 2:09 PM CST  KEY MESSAGES :  1.) Dry, but chilly weather continues through tomorrow.  2.) A warm up begins on Friday, with continued dry weather.  3.) Severe weather is possible Saturday and Saturday night, with all severe hazards possible.  4.) Saturday is now a * FIRST ALERT WEATHER DAY *  SHORT TERM:  A chilly day is in progress around the Mid South. Latest radar shows nothing in the way of precipitation. Temperatures at this hour are in the mid to upper 40s area wide. Expect another chilly day, with temperatures inching closer to 50 for tomorrow. A cold front will move through late tonight and tomorrow morning, which will keep these temperatures on the low side for 1 more day. On Friday, a warm up begins as a southerly flow begins to drive warm moist air out of the Gulf of Mexico ahead of our next storm system.  LONG TERM :  The long term forecast picks up with Saturday morning. At the beginni...

 BRADY'S WEATHER PAGE DECEMBER 5, 2023 @ 4:03 PM CST KEY MESSAGES :  1.) Dry conditions expected through the end of the week, with around average temperatures.  2.) A big storm system moves in Saturday, with potential for severe weather.  SHORT TERM :  The short term period has changed little since yesterday. A dry airmass is expected to remain situated directly over the mid south. 1 cold front has moved through this afternoon, with another expected Wednesday night into Thursday. With the dry airmass remaining over the area, no rain or precipitation is expected with either front. About the only thing these two fronts will do is keep temperatures around or just below average climatology.  LONG TERM :  Friday will probably be the "pick of the week", as temperatures will rise into the 60s ahead of our next big system. No rain or thunderstorm issues are expected on Friday. Saturday will be a much different story. A big storm system is expected to make its ...

 Brady's Weather Page                                                                                                                                         December 5, 2023 @ 7:31 am  KEY MESSAGES:                     1.) Dry conditions continue through Friday, with around or just slightly below average temperatures.  2.) A big storm system will impact the mid south this weekend, bringing rain and storms.  3.) Benign weather returns by early next week with temperatures near average.  SHORT TERM:  The short term forecast has remained virtually unchanged since yesterday...

 Brady's Weather Page,  December 4, 2023 @ 1:00 pm CST