Brady's Weather Blog

Daily Blog and Forecast Discussion Brady's Weather Page 3:18 pm CST Thursday March 2, 2023 SHORT TERM (Tonight through Friday night) Go Outside. Enjoy this nice weather while you can. In just a few short hours... It won't be like this, not until Saturday morning anyway. It would be an understatement to say that we are in the "Calm before the storm"...and that's quite literally. We have a smorgasbord of weather in the short term so let's dive in.  Let's start with tonight: As I type this, an already intense closed low system has dug into northern Mexico. This system will eject northeastward over the next few hours, and it is does, It is going to bring a severe weather outbreak to portions of Texas, Arkansas, and Louisiana. It's going to be a long night for them. As for us, we are also in for a long night, as a warm front is going to lift north through the region. Storms are expected to develop along this warm front and some of them could become severe w...

 The forecast has been updated to include a Tornado Watch that has been issued by the Storm Prediction Center for the southern half of West Tennessee. 

 Daily Blog and Forecast Discussion Brady's Weather Page 3:03 pm CST March 1, 2023 *** FIRST ALERT WEATHER DAY *** Bottom Line up front: Everybody should have multiple ways of receiving warnings over the next 24-30 hours. Everybody should also know their severe weather safety plan, and enact that plan when warnings are issued.  SHORT TERM :  Currently, a few light rain showers are being observed over portions of Tipton County Tennessee at this hour, but other than that, conditions are clear, calm and quiet for now. Temperatures are in the low to mid 70s everywhere, with dewpoints in the mid 60s. It feels like a severe weather day around the mid south. The Storm Prediction center has placed an enhanced risk of severe weather across the southern half of West Tennessee, and a slight risk everywhere else. A lot of moisture, high CAPE, and decent height falls will probably contribute to some severe storms across the area. All modes of severe will be possible with hail and win...

 Daily Blog and Forecast Discussion Brady's Weather Page 1:38 pm CST Tuesday February 28, 2023 SHORT TERM :  The short term forecast this afternoon is...for the most part uneventful. A beautiful day weather wise is underway across the mid south. Temperatures are in the 70s areawide with a breeze in the air. Looking ahead too tomorrow, The Storm Prediction Center has outlined a slight risk of severe thunderstorms for tomorrow afternoon and tomorrow night for areas south of I-40. Looking at the parameters, favorable CAPE and some modest wind shear will probably support a gusty wind/hail threat. Weak SRH values, combined with weak height falls will probably keep the threat for tornadoes at bay.  LONG TERM :  **** SIGNIFICANT TORNADO/SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK EXPECTED THURSDAY PM- FRIDAY AM***  The main focus in today's long term forecast issuance is the expected significant severe weather outbreak which is expected to unfold Thursday evening through Friday morning ac...

Daily Blog and Forecast Discussion Brady's Weather Page 1:38 pm CST Monday February 20, 2023 SHORT TERM : The short term forecast remains a non-eventful one for the most part. Current radar analysis shows no rain, with lots of sunshine. Temperatures are in the mid to upper 60s for everyone. This warming trend will continue for the next couple of days as a southerly flow aloft sets in. Tuesday looks to be a rinse and repeat of today, but with windier conditions and increasing clouds in the afternoon. Rain chances look very minimal Tuesday, though a passing shower cannot totally be ruled out given the amount of moisture present in the atmosphere  LONG TERM :  An active long term period is upon us! Starting off with Wednesday, It will be a very very (use your favorite adjective!) warm day across the Mid South. Temperatures will surge into the Mid 70s to possibly near 80 in most places. These warm, spring like temperatures will challenge all time records for the month if the forec...

Daily Blog and Forecast Discussion Brady's Weather Page 1:07 pm CST Sunday February 19, 2023 SHORT TERM :  A pleasant day is underway across the Mid South this afternoon. Temperatures at the top of the hour were around 60 degrees in most places. Hope your enjoying the pleasant weather while you can, because a very active week of weather is in store, and it all begins in the short term forecast. Starting with Monday, the majority of the area should remain dry. Cannot totally rule out a passing shower near the TN/KY border as as a fast moving shortwave moves through, but most of us will remain dry, with windy conditions. Temperatures are expected to be quite warm as well with most places in the upper 60s. Tuesday will be mere repeat of Monday. A passing shower is possible, but the same scenario exists. The 7 day forecast reflects most areas remaining dry and Windy on both days with temperatures in the mid to upper 60s areawide.  LONG TERM :  Wednesday will be a very warm da...

Daily Blog and Forecast Discussion Brady's Weather Page 12:01 pm CST Saturday February 18, 2023 SHORT TERM : Not much going on weather wise in the short term forecast. High pressure is expected to be in firm control of our weather through early Monday morning. Temperatures will be on a steady rise for the next couple days. By Monday afternoon, model guidance is split on whether or not a minor disturbance can push some rain showers into the mid south. Given the split model guidance, decided to play it down the middle and mention a slight chance of a few showers for Monday afternoon/evening time frame, with better chances of rain Tuesday as depicted by the majority of the medium range and long range forecast guidance. Temperatures will be in the upper 60s to near 70 through the Tuesday timeframe.  LONG TERM :  On Wednesday, A potent upper level low pressure system is progged to eject out of Texas and into the mid south region late afternoon Wednesday. A southwesterly flow aloft ...