Brady's Weather Blog

BRADY'S WEATHER PAGE Sunday May 26, 2024  KEY MESSAGES:  1.) Multiple rounds of severe thunderstorms are still expected through 2 am tomorrow morning. The initial round is moving through the area as of this writing. 2 more rounds are expected later this afternoon and tonight. All severe hazards (tornadoes, damaging winds, large hail, and flooding) are all possible.  2.) Obviously, with the expectation of multiple rounds, a flood threat is likely to develop. A flood watch remains in effect for the entire area.  3.) A much needed break arrives for the bulk of next week with seasonal temperatures, a dryer conditions. .DISCUSSION... Issued 8:25 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024 *** MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF POTENTIALLY SIGNIFICANT SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TODAY  *** Currently.....a nasty bow echo is moving through Obion and Weakley counties at this time. 60-70 mph winds can be expected with this feature, and of the course the potential is there for a small spin-up tornado. This ...

BRADY'S WEATHER PAGE Saturday May 25, 2024   KEY MESSAGES:  1.) A very volatile and potentially dangerous severe weather day is shaping up for Sunday. Higher end threats for tornadoes, damaging winds, and large hail will all be possible.  2.) In addition to severe weather, intense heavy rainfall may produce localized flooding issues, especially for areas that have recently received rainfall. As such, a flood watch remains in effect through Monday morning.  3.) A much needed break from the active weather pattern is in store for much of the week next week. Drier and near seasonal temperature should prevail.  . DISCUSSION ... Issued at 6:50 pm CDT Sat May 25, 2024 Enjoy the rest of today and this evening, because we have an active weather day on tap for Sunday. Starting off with this evening, as of 7PM, there is currently nothing on the radar. Temperatures are very warm and it is very muggy outside! Enjoy this decent weather while you have it. The main focus for th...

BRADY'S WEATHER PAGE Thursday May 23, 2024  KEY MESSAGES... 1.) After a relatively quiet Thursday, the weather turns active early tomorrow morning and tomorrow afternoon. SPC has our region highlighted in a Level 2 slight risk for tomorrow.  2.) Saturday looks predominately dry, however a couple of strong storms could develop if a cap erodes Saturday afternoon.  3.) A potential severe weather outbreak is on the way for Sunday and Sunday night.  .DISCUSSION... Issued at 7:23 pm CDT Thu May 23, 2024  A relatively calm, and tranquil evening is underway around the Mid South at this hour. Temperatures are currently in the Mid to upper 70s at all reporting stations (Jackson, Union City, Memphis, Dyersburg). Tranquil conditions are expected to continue for several more hours. Heading into tomorrow morning, a series of disturbances are forecast to impact the area. Showers and Thunderstorms are forecast to develop associated with these disturbances. A few of these storms...

BRADY'S WEATHER PAGE Thursday May 23, 2024 @ 11:00 am  KEY MESSAGES:  1.) An active weather pattern will persist through at least Monday with daily chances of thunderstorms. Confidence on intensity and coverage of storms is verily low  2.) The great coverage and intensity of thunderstorms is expected to be Friday, but especially on Sunday, where confidence is increasing that a severe weather outbreak will unfold  3.) By Tuesday, a northwest flow aloft will drive in cooler and drier air, officially ending the unsettled weather pattern locally.  .DISCUSSION... Issued at 11:00 am CDT Thu May 23 2024  The Mid South will remain in a nearly zonal flow aloft through the weekend. This will contribute to a very active period with daily chances of showers and thunderstorms. Temperatures will be modulated by convection and cloud cover, but should be at or above average through Sunday. For today, a weak frontal boundary is orientated from southwest to northeast across ...

BRADY'S WEATHER PAGE WEDNESDAY JANUARY 17, 2024 @ 6:04 PM .. DISCUSSION ... Arctic high pressure is situated over the southeast United States this evening. Temperatures today warmed into the 20s to around freezing under all sunshine, which has helped to melt the snow/ice off of the roadways. Temperatures however are expected to fall quickly as a result of clear skies, and relatively light winds, so anything that has melted will refreeze tonight, creating a potentially dangerous black ice situation.  By late tonight, a weak mid level shortwave will push into the Southern Plains and into the Mid South by Thursday morning. As a result, expect overrunning to develop across the entire area early Thursday morning. Model soundings show a moistening profile that will be supportive of frozen precipitation during the day. Temperatures will start off in the teens and 20s but should rise into the lower to mid 30s everywhere. I am a bit weary of the models that show us going above freezing tomo...

BRADY'S WEATHER PAGE MONDAY JANUARY 15, 2024 @ 3:40 PM CST ...DISCUSSION... Snow accumulation has officially ended in West Tennessee (for now!), but the impact continues to be significant. Snow/ice covered road remains, and conditions are not expected to improve as temperatures will remain bitterly cold. Overnight lows will drop into the single digits tonight, with wind chills -3 to -8 degrees area wide. As a result, we will have a wind chill advisory through 10:00 am on Wednesday. Temperatures will moderate some on Wednesday, but probably not above freezing, with sunshine expected all day. The NBM guidance puts temperatures in the upper 20s on Wednesday, but feel this is a bit too high considering snowpack on the ground.  Things get tricky heading into Thursday. Another advancing system is expected to approach the Mid South. Guidance seems to want to rapidly increase temperatures above freezing for areas south of I-40, and keep temperatures right at or very near freezing for areas...