Posts

Weather Forecast and Discussion - January 13

BRADY'S WEATHER PAGE: SATURDAY JANAURY 13, 2024 @ 3:02 PM CST KEY MESSAGES:   1.) A Winter Storm is expected to impact the entire Mid South with accumulating snowfall beginning Sunday afternoon and lasting into Monday.  2.) Dangerously cold temperatures are also expected tonight, and will get colder going into the early part of next week.  3.) Expect hazardous travel conditions most of next week.  ..DISCUSSION... ***MAJOR WINTER STORM AND DANGEROUSLY COLD TEMPERATURES EXPECTED*** The primary focus for today's forecast issuance is going to be on the approaching dangerously cold temperatures and winter storm. The long awaited arctic airmass will begin to impact the Mid South this evening, plummeting temperatures to the teens by Sunday morning. Ahead of the front, conditions are dry and chilly this afternoon with temperatures ranging from the upper 30s to low 40s areawide. Take advantage of the above freezing temperatures to get those pipes protected against the cold! W...

Weather Forecast and Discussion: January 12 - PM update

BRADY'S WEATHER PAGE: FRIDAY JANUARY 12, 2024 @ 4:10 PM CST KEY MESSAGES:  1.) A Winter storm is taking aim at the Mid South for Sunday night and Monday. A Winter Storm Watch has been issued for the entire mid south 2.) Bitter cold is now filtering into the Mid South. The air will only get colder from here on out.  3.) The combination of snowfall and bitter cold will create hazardous travel Monday and Tuesday, and possibly Wednesday.  SHORT TERM:   Latest surface analysis depicts a reinforcing cold front parallel to the Mississippi River. Behind the front, temperatures have dipped into the upper teens and lower 20s in West and Central Arkansas. These air temperatures will filter into the Mid South causing overnight lows to drop into the 20s overnight tonight into tomorrow morning. Ahead of this front, strong gusty winds will continue to be in the 20-30 mph range with gusts near 50 mph at times. A wind advisory remains in effect areawide through Midnight tonight. Cool...

Weather Forecast and Discussion: January 12, 2024

BRADY'S WEATHER PAGE:  FRIDAY JANUARY 12, 2024 @ 7:52 AM  KEY MESSAGES:  1.) A stormy/active day expected today with highs winds, heavy rain all forecast for today. This makes today a "First Alert Weather Day".  2.) A very dangerous and potentially damaging blast of arctic air will envelop the entire area Saturday night. A week or more of below freezing temperatures is expected. Wind chills below zero and as low as -10 to  -20 is forecast.  3.) Accumulating Snow fall is possible Sunday night into Monday. Still too early to talk about amounts.  SHORT TERM: (Today Through Saturday) A very active morning of weather is underway across the area. We do have a Tornado Watch that is in effect for the far southern counties of West Tennessee. This is the area where the greatest chances of severe weather will remain for the rest of the morning, before this system moves out of here. Over the rest of the area, rain is on-going. Expect most locations to pick up anyw...

Weather Forecast and Discussion: PM UPDATE!

BRADY'S WEATHER PAGE THURSDAY JANUARY 11, 2024 @ 7:12 PM  ..UPDATED DISCUSSION.... The key messages stated in the last discussion remain valid in this updated discussion. The overall forecast is in good shape. We continue a Wind Advisory for all of the Mid South for tomorrow. I do expect a part of this advisory to get upgraded to a High Wind Warning at some point. Tomorrow will be extremely windy with 45-55 mph gusts. Prepare for power outages tomorrow, and the potential for trees to come down. The remainder of the forecast is in great shape. We still expect accumulating snow Sunday night into Monday. 3-4 inches of snow seems like a good bet, followed by extremely dangerous wind chills and temperatures Monday night through Wednesday at the minimum. 

Weather forecast and discussion: January 11, 2024

BRADY'S WEATHER PAGE THURSDAY JANUARY 11, 2024 @ 12:47 PM  KEY MESSAGES:  1.) Strong to potentially damaging gradient wind gusts (45-60 mph) are expected tonight into tomorrow, along with heavy rain, and the potential for a few storms mainly Friday AM.  2.) Still tracking the potential for accumulating snow Sunday into Monday next week. It remains too early to be specific with any accumulation potential.  3.) A blast of arctic air invades the region beginning tomorrow night, with the coldest air filtering in Monday PM. Widespread wind chills of -15 to - 24 are expected.  SHORT TERM:   A very active short and long term forecast today! Midday GOES water vapor shows an upper low pressure over Arizona at this hour. This feature will quickly move into the southern plains by midnight tonight. Strongly diffluent flow will overspread the Mid South prior to sunrise, before a 991 mb surface low tracks directly overhead, while deepening to 983 mb. By 6 am, there shoul...

Weather Forecast and Discussion - PM UPDATE (Jan 10)

BRADY'S WEATHER PAGE WEDNESDAY JANUARY 10, 2024 @ 3:35 PM  KEY MESSAGES:   1.) Quiet weather "for now" -- but our next storm system is on the way for Friday and Friday night with rain and strong winds.  2.) Another storm system arrives Sunday night with increasing potential for accumulating snowfall across the region.  3.) Bitter cold sets in Monday night and likely lasts a couple days or more.  SHORT TERM:   The short term forecast this evening will perhaps be one of the shorter ones we have for a few days. Temperatures this afternoon are in the upper 40s with a few places hitting 50. Overall, tranquil weather is expected for the remainder of the short term period. We will see increasing clouds tomorrow afternoon ahead of the Friday storm system which we will discuss at the beginning of the long term discussion.  LONG TERM :  *** LIFE THREATENING COLD TEMPERATURES  EXPECTED EARLY NEXT WEEK *** The long term picks up with Friday. A strong are...

Weather Forecast and Discussion - January 10, 2024

BRADY'S WEATHER PAGE Wednesday January 10, 2024 @ 3:40 am  KEY MESSAGES:   1.) A very similar storm system moves in on Friday with more rain and gusty winds!  2.) a blast of arctic air will move into the region this weekend and early next week. Destructively cold temperatures are forecast with lows approaching zero.  3.) Potential remains for an impactful winter storm Sunday night into Monday.  SHORT TERM :  Finally, after a windy last couple days, the winds have begun to taper off! This trend will continue, but things will remain relatively tranquil for the next 24-30 hours. Business however picks up with Thursday night as a strong upper trough moves out of the Rockies. Models are in decent agreement with a moderate-heavy rain band moving through the forecast region, bringing a much needed 1-2 inches of rain. The bigger impact however may come from the strong gradient winds. Winds could gust at 40 to 50 mph, and there is some concern that these gusts could...